With two weeks to go, the Rangers are still tied with the Rays atop the wild-card standings. They still have a real chance to earn one of the two spots, but it’s no longer anything close to guaranteed.

Record: 81-67, tied for the lead

Games remaining vs. playoff contenders (11): Four Rangers, four vs. Orioles, three at Yankees.

Games vs. non-contenders (3): Three at Blue Jays.

By the numbers, the schedule is tough. But the Rays get the Rangers and the Orioles at home, and perhaps they’ll be playing the beat-up Yankees at the right time.

Coolstandings.com percentage of winning: 53.0

Baseballprospectus.com: 78.6*

CBSSports.com projection: The Rays let one get away Sunday in Minnesota, and their lineup still isn’t really clicking. But the strong rotation gives them a chance every night, and the guess here is that they win just enough to get in.

Source: Danny Knobler, CBS Sports